Most teams are only a couple games in to the new season. Lets look a few players who have started hot, and have been added in many fantasy hockey leagues, but you may want to think twice before adding.
Francois Beauchemin D – Col (39% Owned) – Beauchemin has started the season with 5 assists in 2 games, including 2 power-play assists. Don’t let these stats fool you, he is not an offensive defenseman. He’s only scored over 30 points once, and that was in his rookie year back in 2005-06, though he did get 24 points in 48 games in the lockout shortened season a few years ago. But the is the exception not the rule. He is currently getting second line PP minutes, though I wouldn’t count on that remaining consistent as the Avs have a few young defensemen they could slot into that spot to give Beauchemin some rest as his defensive play is so important for even-strength and shorthanded situations. I expect his stats to level off and finish with 20-some points, fewer than 10 powerplay points, a single-digit +/- rating, and just over 100 shots on goal.
I’d prefer Alex Goligoski (34% owned) or Jason Garrison (30% Owned).
Oscar Lindberg C – NYR (26% Owned) – The rookie has 4 goals and a plus-5 rating through his first 3 games this year. He was named the second star of the week for the first week of this NHL season. Don’t expect this offensive burst to continue, however, as he is playing on the third-line while not getting any PP time. With only 7 shots on goal, his shooting percentage is ridiculously high, and completely unsustainable. A finish of 15 goals and 15 assists would be considered a success for a full season.
Players to target instead: Teuvo Teravainen (35%), Brandon Dubinsky (32%), Jakob Silfverberg (27%), Mike Cammalleri (26%).
Mike Smith G – Ari (59% Owned) – We know Mike Smith is a good goalie. He has had success in the past in the NHL and on the international stage. With 2 wins, a 1.00 GAA and .971 save-percentage in his first 2 games, things are looking good so far this year. The problem lies with the team he plays on. Arizona is the worst team in the Western Conference. Goalie stats rely so much on the team they play on, and it has showed with Smith posting a GAA of 3.16, a save-percentage of .904 and only 14 wins in 62 games last year. He will play a lot of games, but his stats will drag down your fantasy team.
I’d much rather have the lesser-owned Petr Mrazek (51%), who although is in a timeshare situation in Detroit, should still get at least as many wins as Smith while posting much better averages.